Colts DE Dwight Freeney looked fresh in the first half. He came off the ball with speed and was able to move laterally against the run, but more important, he was effective at getting to Drew Brees. We saw him use the spin move and the bull-rush. However, in the second half, I thought Freeney was tired, and for the first time all night, he looked tired. Warrior effort without a doubt — just not enough left in that ankle to show us the impact he usually has on a game.
The Saints final drive was a classic example of how offenses can run their routes based off the coverage they see. When the Colts showed a single high safety in the middle of the field (signals Cover 1 or Cover 3), the Saints ran the 10-yard out routes. When the Colts showed their Cover 2 looks, Brees took what the defense gave him and checked the ball down. They methodically worked the ball down the field, sprinkled in the power running game with Pierre Thomas, and when they needed a play to score points, they got creative. The Saints went three WRs to the field and aligned TE Jeremy Shockey away from the formation as the backside “X” receiver — where he was matched up on a corner. It’s a matchup that Shockey can exploit because of his size, and as usual in the NFL, a 3x1 look to the field equals a backside slant. Great call for six points and the winning score.
The total points betting for Superbowl XLIV will also be unfolding during the match and its currently trading at 56.5, which is quite high, but both of these teams generally put up hefty totals and we could easily see a 4 touchdown first quarter- which would blow this market wide open. I believe the most points ever scored in a Superbowl was in the mid-70s, but under the right set of circumstances, that could definitely happen here.
The odds favour touchdowns and you can wager on the total touchdowns in the 2010 Superbowl at William Hill. You'll find 7 or more touchdowns scored paying odds-on at 3/4 while 5-6 touchdowns pays out at 21/10. A mere 3/4 touchdowns pays out at 9/2.
As mentioned in our previous article, Peyton Manning trades at 8/11 to be named MVP while Drew Brees can be backed at 11/4 to be named the games most valuable player.
Momentum is going to be such a big issue in this game and a come-from-behind victory is always a great bet. You can take Indianapolis to be ahead at half-time with the Saints winning the game at a 8/1 while Saints ahead at half and the Colts to win pays a solid 5/1.
Interestingly enough, the Saints are favoured to get to 10 points faster and they pay 8/13 to score 10 before the Colts, while Peyton Manning's side pays 6/5 to get to 10 points before their opponents.
Peyton Manning's passing yards over/under for the Superbowl is 300.5 yards. He is 4/7 to throw at least one interception. He is 5/4 to not throw an interception. Drew Brees' over/under on passing yards is 285.5 while in the heads-up between Manning and Brees passing yards, Drew Brees pays out at evens to throw for more yards than Manning while Peyton pays a slim 8/11.
In terms of the anytime touchdown scorer betting in the 2010 Superbowl, Joseph Addai is favoured to score a TD anytime at 4/7 alongside Reggie Wayne. Pierre Thomas and Dallas Clark tarde at 4/6 while Marques Colston is odds-on at 10/11 and Reggie Bush can be backed at evens. Austin Collie and Pierre Garcon are at 6/5 to score anytime while Devery Henderson and Jeremy Shockey are at 7/4 and 15/8, respectively.
Betting tips http://bettingchoice.co.uk/saints-vs-colts-2010-superbowl-live-betting-odds-from-william-hill_19135#ixzz3EBaJgPYX
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